USG kills Anthropic Fable 5, and the future of America's software empire

The ecstasy and decline of getting high (margins)

Jun 13 • Danny Crichton

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March 2026

The anodyne bonhomie of Hill and Valley will soon be a relic

One last breath of normality for the Valley set before the Hill populists attack

Mar 26 • Danny Crichton

Trump’s AI framework concedes the backlash is real

With Americans increasingly negative, a new approach is needed to galvanize support for AI progress

Mar 23 • Danny Crichton

GPT-5.4 plays Riskgaming like Machiavelli

An experimental exploration of strategic agentic thinking

Mar 18 • Danny Crichton

AI super persuasion is not an existential risk

A recent discussion highlighted concerns around recursive improvement

Mar 16 • Danny Crichton

Iran is a masterstroke to stop the AI backlash

Who can blame data centers for energy prices now?

Mar 12 • Danny Crichton

February 2026

Trouncing career regret with famed VC Bill Gurley

Mentors, obsessions, and going where the action is

Feb 26 • Danny Crichton

Are social sciences dead in the agentic age?

A dispatch from Silicon Valley

Feb 24 • Danny Crichton

January 2026

Can sports betting overthrow Iran?

Dustin Gouker on Polymarket, Kalshi, and whether prediction markets will take over our world.

Jan 28 • Danny Crichton

The risks no one talks about

Lily Boland on foresight, gaming and changing people's minds

Jan 22 • Danny Crichton

Forget founder mode, we’re all in editor mode now

AI has democratized editing. Is that a good thing?

Jan 15 • Danny Crichton

What are the origins of efficiency?

Brian Potter on uniformity construction, and scale

Jan 14 • Danny Crichton